5/16 Baseball Bracketology Breakdown


Last Eight In: Michigan State, Boston College, Duke, Long Beach State, Nebraska, Wake Forest, BYU, Arizona State

First Eight Out: California, Maryland, Oregon State, Charleston, Louisiana Tech, Jacksonville, Marshall, Ohio State


With just one week before conference tournament action, the bubble is starting to get crowded. Boston College, Duke and Wake Forest are in a fight for the last few ACC Tournament spots, and should one miss out on that, the NCAA Tournament would likely be out of reach. The Big Ten, Conference USA and Pac-12 provide most of the other teams in the mix for the last few spots. With the Big Ten, there are five teams looking to join Michigan and Minnesota in what could be a four-bid league. The Big Ten’s conference race is still really close, with eight teams within three games of third place. All eight are in the mix for an at-large bid, and Indiana, currently in second place, will try to join them with a conference tournament victory. Teams like Louisiana Tech and Marshall have the Conference USA looking to get a fourth bid like the Big Ten. Louisiana Tech has an RPI of 46 and will look to improve on that in the closing stages of the regular season. Marshall has a lower RPI, 59, but just one game out of first place, the Thundering Herd could basically secure a bid with a CUSA title.

The most interesting conference by far is the Pac-12. Utah, with the second lowest overall winning percentage, sits in first, while the teams that looked to be the class of the Pac-12 earlier this year, California and Oregon State, are squarely on the bubble. Both have RPI’s north of 50 and are headed in the wrong direction. Currently outside the top four in the conference, both will likely need to work their way back into one of those spots if they are going to snag a bad. With no conference tournament, Utah just needs to maintain its one game lead atop the standings to gain the automatic bid. Sounds tough, but with their impressive play during the conference portion of the schedule, it’s within reach.


See the Projected Baseball NCAA Tournament Bracket


ACC: Boston College, Duke, Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Miami, North Carolina, North Carolina State, Virginia, Wake Forest

American: Tulane, East Carolina

Big East: Creighton

Big 12: Oklahoma State, TCU, Texas Tech

Big Ten: Michigan, Michigan State, Minnesota, Nebraska

Pac-12: Arizona, Arizona State, Washington, Utah

SEC: Alabama, Florida, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt


A-10: VCU

America East: Binghamton

A-Sun: Kennesaw State

Big South: Coastal Carolina

Big West: UC Santa Barbara, Cal State Fullerton, Long Beach State

CAA: UNC-Wilmington

C-USA: Florida Atlantic, Rice, Southern Miss

Horizon: Wright State

Ivy: Princeton*

MAAC: Canisius

MAC: Kent State

MEAC: Florida A&M

MVC: Dallas Baptist

MWC: New Mexico

NEC: Bryant

OVC: Southeast Missouri

Patriot: Navy

Southern: UNC Greensboro

Southland: Southeastern Louisiana

Summit: Oral Roberts

Sun Belt: South Alabama, Louisiana

SWAC: Alabama State

WAC: Seattle

WCC: BYU, Gonzaga


See the Projected Baseball NCAA Tournament Bracket