4/13 Baseball Bracketology Breakdown

North Carolina State College Baseball

Last Eight In: Auburn, Cal State Fullerton, California, Connecticut, Liberty, Mississippi, Ohio State, Oklahoma

First Eight Out: Alabama, Bradley, Kentucky, Mississippi State, Radford, San Diego State, Texas, Texas Tech

This week’s projection of the NCAA Tournament has a chance to change immensely before now and the end of the season. This can be attributed to the fact that a large portion of teams in power conferences have average resumes. You can look at the SEC, Big 12, ACC and Pac-12 and what you’ll see are clear teams at the top and a jumbled mess below. RPI’s and strength of schedules have plagued both teams with solid records and sub par ones. Alabama, Kentucky and West Virginia all have RPI’s in the top 44, but none of those three teams have won more than 21 games and all three have a strength of schedule below 75.  Teams like Arizona, San Diego State, Texas, Wake Forest and Oregon all have put together good records, but none of them are in the top 60 in the RPI.

Notre Dame helped the ACC sort out that mess by stepping up and sweeping Florida State over the weekend, but they still have Wake Forest, Clemson and NC State struggling. This has given other conferences an opportunity and they have capitalized. The AAC and Big Ten each have 4 and 5 teams in, respectively, and the Big South and Colonial each have two teams in, with the Big South having a possibility for a third. Bradley has an RPI of 13 out of the MVC, but that’s an inflated RPI as they have just three wins over the top 100. Radford is currently tied atop the Big South and has an RPI of 36, but they work to down the stretch starting with a showdown with Coastal Carolina this weekend. How the at-large bids shake out by conference will definitely be something to watch between now and the start of the tournament.


See the Projected Baseball NCAA Tournament Bracket


ACC: Florida State, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Miami, Notre Dame, North Carolina, Virginia

American: Connecticut, Houston, South Florida, UCF

Big East: Creighton

Big 12: Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, TCU

Big Ten: Illinois, Iowa, Maryland, Nebraska, Ohio State

Pac-12: Arizona State, California, Oregon State, UCLA, USC

SEC: Auburn, Florida, LSU, Mississippi, Missouri, South Carolina, Texas A&M, Vanderbilt

A-10: George Washington

America East: Stony Brook

A-Sun: North Florida

Big South: Coastal Carolina, Liberty

Big West: Cal State Fullerton, Long Beach State, UC Irvine, UC Santa Barbara

CAA: Charleston, UNC-Wilmington

C-USA: Rice, Florida Atlantic

Horizon: Wright State

Ivy: Columbia

MAAC: Canisius

MAC: Ball State

MEAC: Bethune-Cookman

MVC: Dallas Baptist, Missouri State

MWC: Nevada

NEC: Bryant

OVC: Southeast Missouri

Patriot: Navy

Southern: Mercer

Southland: Southeastern Louisiana

Summit: Oral Roberts

Sun Belt: Louisiana

SWAC: Alabama State

WAC: Sacramento State

WCC: San Diego


See the Projected Baseball NCAA Tournament Bracket