#24 Baylor Men's Basketball Preview


Baylor Bears

Overall Rank: #24
Conference Rank: #4 Big 12
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2010-11: 18-13, 7-9
2010-11 postseason: none
Coach: Scott Drew (127-116 at Baylor, 147-127 overall)

Baylor was shut out of the postseason last year and despite of the loss of leading scorer LaceDarius Dunn, this is a team that has the talent to make a very deep run in the NCAA Tournament. The backcourt has some questions to answer. The most experienced perimeter player on the roster is junior A.J. Walton. Walton dished out 4.7 assists per game last year, but his starting job is in jeopardy due to the newcomers. But whether he starts or not, or if he plays off the ball or on the ball, Walton will have to be a leader for the Bears. Walton is not a great scorer, but he is a decent shooter and can attack the basket. In the past he drove and dished. Now he may take on a little more scoring and drive and finish.

Who’s Out:
Dunn was easily the most prolific shooter on the team last year and that may be an issue heading into the 2011-2012 campaign. Dunn knocked down 3.2 three-pointers per game and certainly did not lack in scoring in other ways as well. The focus will shift to the frontcourt without Dunn on the floor, but Baylor still needs some guards to replace Dunn’s production if they hope to win the Big 12. Fellow guards Nolan Dennis and Stargell Love are also gone, but they barely saw any significant playing time.

Who’s In:
The backcourt has a whole slew of talent that will make an impact this year, but the star of this class is 6-9 forward Quincy Miller. The latest super recruit headed to Waco, Texas, Miller is expected to make a major contribution from day one as long as his knee is healthy. Logan Lowery, a walk-on transfer from Centenary, is eligible immediately after being a part-time starter as a freshman last season. Lowery is more of a shooting wing than a forward, but either way, Baylor will not need him to do much. The backcourt gets a wide variety of intriguing players. Deuce Bello is the lone freshman. He is a superb athlete who can finish above the rim with the best in the nation. Gary Franklin will be eligible in December after transferring from California. Franklin could emerge as the shooter this team needs, but he was quite inconsistent in Berkeley. Brady Heslip is another sophomore transfer. Coming from Boston College where he never played a game, Heslip still needs to gain some collegiate experience, but the Canadian does have some international experience. The best of the bunch could be Pierre Jackson. The guard is the reigning NJCAA Division I Player of the Year and can play at either guard position. At 5-10, he will need to be a point guard, but he can team up with Walton in the backcourt and that would give Baylor two guards who can handle the ball and at least Jackson should be able to score in bunches even if Walton’s offense is limited.

Who to Watch:
So why all the hype and excitement? Try a frontcourt with Miller, Perry Jones III, Anthony Jones and Quincy Acy…and that is just for starters. Perry Jones III, a 6-11, 235 pound sophomore, was supposed to be gone after his freshman year. He opted to stick around after averaging 13.9 points and 7.2 rebounds. He will be in the NBA very soon. Anthony Jones is very big at 6-10, but he has a nice looking shot and a ton of experience. The senior may not get as much attention as the rest of the backcourt, but he has a ton of starts under his belt and is the only player who started all 31 games last season. Acy spent part of last year coming in off of the bench and may be relegated to that role this year as well once Perry Jones III returns from a five game suspension. Acy averaged 12.4 points and a team high 7.6 rebounds during his junior campaign and is one of the most efficient scorers in the nation. Whether he starts or not, Acy will get plenty of playing time. J’mison Morgan is another experienced player who spent some time at UCLA before starting 14 games for the Bears last season. Fred Ellis is even a productive rebounder from the small forward position. Add Cory Jefferson, who redshirted last season, to the mix and there is more talent than Coach Scott Drew knows what to do with in the frontcourt.

Final Projection:
The frontcourt will win a ton of games, but the backcourt needs to develop some consistency sooner or later if Baylor wants to win the Big 12 and make a serious run towards the NCAA championship. It is a guard game come tournament time and by then Jackson will need to be comfortable running the point or playing off the ball if Walton stays in that role. If Walton can take better care of the ball and run the point, it will give Baylor more options with Bello, Heslip and Franklin capable of filling in on the wings.

Projected Postseason Tournament: NCAA

Projected Starting Five:
Pierre Jackson, Junior, Guard, DNP last season
A.J. Walton, Junior, Guard, 7.9 points per game
Quincy Miller, Freshman, Forward, DNP last season
Anthony Jones, Senior, Forward, 8.5 points per game
Perry Jones III, Sophomore, Forward, 13.9 points per game

Madness 2012 NBA Draft Rankings:
#3 Quincy Miller
#4 Perry Jones

Madness 2011 Men's Basketball Recruit Rankings:
#6 Quincy Miller
#39 Deuce Bello

 

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